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[address-policy-wg] 2013-03 New Draft Document and Impact Analysis Published (No Need - Post-Depletion Reality Adjustment and Clean up)
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Tore Anderson
tore at fud.no
Thu Jul 25 16:44:07 CEST 2013
* Nick Hilliard > The ipv4 address market will work if the market stays liquid, but 2013-03 > creates an environment for full deregulation of the addressing market with > almost no control mechanisms for handling problems Hi Nick, I'd like to know: - What kind of problems are you foreseeing? - What kind of control mechanisms exist in today's policy, that are removed by 2013-03, will forestall these problems? > [There is a 24-month reallocation freeze, but I don't think this is going > to work because it will not affect the reality of real world allocation > transfers. Consequently, people will flout it, and then we will need to > remove it from the policy mechanism because it's causing the registry > function to break down.] s/24-month reallocation freeze/requirement to demonstrate need/ Does this argument work equally well? If no, why not? > Liquidity will be generated almost entirely by existing address space > holders releasing existing address space into the market. So the > interesting question is: just how much slack space is there out there? Probably impossible to answer accurately. The best indication I could come up with is to 1) compare pre-depletion allocation rates with post-depletion transfer rates, making the assumption that the actual demand has at least not decreased, and 2) compare supply with demand at the RIPE NCC's listing site. Today's numbers: Pre-depletion IPv4 RIR->LIR allocation stats (20110914-20120725): - allocations: 1980 - addresses: 36052992 Post-depletion IPv4 LIR->LIR allocation transfer stats (20120914-20130725): - transfers: 70 (3.54% of pre-depletion) - addresses: 1189888 (3.30% of pre-depletion) RIPE NCC IPv4 Transfer Listing Service stats: - requested: 15043584 - available: 225280 (1.50% of requested) Tore
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