Re: [address-policy-wg] 2005-01 - Last Call for Comments (HD-ratio Proposal)

[Save Vocea save@localhost]

Hi,

At the APNIC 21 Open policy meeting held last week the Policy SIG  
chairs were requested to facilitate a discussion and the chairs to  
seek consensus on the future of the proposal of 'Application of HD  
ratio to IPv4' in APNIC.
Here are some comments from the discussion:

-      It was suggested that if this proposal was adopted in any  
region, it could have significant negative impacts on IPv4 address  
consumption. It was noted that the LACNIC community is very concerned  
about this issue.
-      It was noted that a recent analysis of the potential impact of  
this policy, which looked at the past 5 year's allocation patterns,  
concluded that use of the HD-ratio over that period would have meant  
a 47 percent increase in address consumption in the RIPE region and a  
49 percent increase in the APNIC region. It was noted that if all  
RIRs were to adopt this policy, it could accelerate total address  
exhaustion by two years. It was also noted that if some RIRs adopted  
this policy then it could have significant impacts on the ability of  
smaller RIRs to get IPv4.
-      It was noted that current consumption rates indicate a  
potential IPv4 exhaustion date of mid-2012.
-      It was noted that when this proposal was first raised,  
projected IPv4 lifetime was over 15 years, however allocation rates  
have increased since then.
-      The Chair suggested moving this discussion to the policy  
mailing list for a further month, then leaving it up to the SIG chair  
to decide whether to continue or abandon the proposal.
regards,
Save
--
Savenaca Vocea,  Policy Development Manager,   save@localhost
Asia Pacific Network Information Centre
http://www.apnic.net                                            ph/fx  
+61 7 3858 3100/99
On 21/02/2006, at 4:34 PM, Geoff Huston wrote:

> Hi,
>
> I was wondering if it would help to look at the potential impact of  
> this policy on IPv4 address consumption predictions. I have built a  
> model of projection IPv4 address consumption based on continuity of  
> current address allocation policies http://ipv4.potaroo.net, and it  
> may be useful to look at the impact of using the HD ratio on this  
> model. I'll try and get some results posted by the end of this week  
> on a simulation of the effects of adoption of this policy proposal
> thanks,
>
>   Geoff
>
>
>
>
> On 2/7/06, RIPE NCC Policy Coordinator adrian@localhost wrote: PDP  
> Number: 2005-01
> HD-ratio Proposal
>
> Dear Colleagues
>
> The proposal to change to RIPE Document ripe-324 is now at its  
> final stage.
> You can find the full proposal at:
>
>    http://www.ripe.net/ripe/policies/proposals/2005-1.html
>
> Please e-mail any final comments about this proposal to address- 
> policy-wg@localhost before 7 March 2006.
> We will publish the new policy after this date if we receive no  
> objections.
> Regards
>
> Adrian Bedford
> RIPE NCC